Can I make it?

I have a very good chance of getting this week's points leader buy-in at the casino. There's about 8 people that have ANY shot at beating me out for it, but they have to take 1st in tonight's tourney to do it. There is another dude that I have to stay close with, or I'm done for the week. I've made a nice little chart with the point deltas and acceptable finishing place differences between me and the competitors.

Tonight's tourney is the format that I took down last week. It's a rebuy/add-on, so I think I should gamb00l! it up for the rebuy period until I've built a nice stack.